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Trough Concentration (Cmin) – Virologic Success (RNA <400 copies/mL) Analysis
  • Review team
  • Pravin Jadhav Jenny Zheng
  • Shashi Amur Kellie Reynolds
  • Joga Gobburu John Lazor


  • OFFICE OF CLINICAL PHARMACOLOGY (OCP)
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Major aims
  • Is the proposed dosing regimen (150mg BID with PI or 300mg BID w/o PI) acceptable?


  • What is the utility of Cmin-Virologic success relationship?
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Summary of Cmin-Virologic Success Analysis
  • Patients with Cmin ≥ 50-75 ng/mL have a better chance of virologic success.
    • In addition to Cmin, the probability of success is also influenced by other factors such as baseline CD4+ count, baseline viral load and OSS.
    • With the proposed doses (150mg BID and 300mg BID) 60% patients will be ≥ 75 ng/mL compared to the QD dosing (18%).


  • The maraviroc concentrations could be important to
    • Help explain lack of response.
    • Help assess compliance.
    • Help assess a need to dose adjust to increase virologic success.
    • For example, in patient population with Cmin <75 ng/mL, by doubling dose the probability of success is increased to 62% (vs 56% at the proposed dosing). In overall population this probability is 69% vs. 67%.
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Data from studies A4001027, A4001028 were used
  • 973 patients were included in the analyses
    • 76 patients were ignored due to unavailability of covariate information

  • Plasma trough concentrations (Cmin) were used as an exposure variable


  • Virologic success was defined as RNA <400 copies/mL


  • Important predictors : Baseline viral load, Baseline CD4+ count, Baseline tropism, OSS etc.
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Is virologic success dependent on maraviroc Cmin?
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The probability of virologic success increases with maraviroc concentration
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Baseline CD4+ count, OSS, Cmin and baseline viral load are important predictors of virologic success
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Maximum benefit is achieved at ≥ 50-75 ng/mL Cmin; Higher Cmin offers minimal additional benefit
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The proposed BID dosing is consistent with the Cmin-Virologic success relationship
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What are the important predictors for lower Cmin?
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28% (150mg BID), 77% (300mg BID) of patients have Cmin < 75 ng/mL
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No baseline extrinsic/intrinsic factor explains Cmin variability well
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What is the utility of Cmin-Virologic success relationship?
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Utility of Cmin-Virologic Success Relationship
  • In clinical practice, in addition to intrinsic pharmacokinetic variability, there are several factors (such as compliance, concomitant medications etc.) that could lead to lower concentration
    • Controlling these factors becomes important to achieve the benefit shown in the controlled trials.
    • Maraviroc concentrations could be important to
      • Help explain lack of response
      • Help assess compliance
      • Help assess a need to dose adjust to increase the probability of success while not increasing the exposure related risk
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Evaluation of the added benefit of, for instance, doubling dose in patients with lower Cmin
  • Based on the final model, simulations were conducted to assess the effect of doubling the dose in patients with Cmin below the defined threshold.


  • A total of 399 patients from studies A4001027 and A4001028 who received maraviroc 300mg or 150mg BID.


  • Doubling of dose in patients with efavirenz or nevirapine in OBT.


  • Doubling of dose if Cmin was below the defined threshold- 10, 25, 50, 75 or 100 ng/mL.


  • Only one doubling of the dose was permitted.
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Doubling of dose could lead to 62% (vs 56%) success in patient population with Cmin <75 ng/mL. In overall population this probability is 69% vs. 67%
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Practical aspects of individualized dosing
  • Cmin in 8% (150mg BID) and 33% (300mg BID) patients is < 25 ng/mL.
    • Doubling dose will not ensure Cmin ≥ 75 ng/mL
    • Safety experience at higher doses is limited

  • Individualization of treatment will need to consider tropism, OSS, viral load change, in addition to Cmin.
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Summary of Cmin-Virologic Success Analysis
  • Patients with Cmin ≥ 50-75 ng/mL have a better chance of virologic success.
    • In addition to Cmin, the probability of success is also influenced by other factors such as baseline CD4+ count, baseline viral load and OSS.
    • With the proposed doses (150mg BID and 300mg BID) 60% patients will be ≥ 75 ng/mL compared to the QD dosing (18%).


  • The maraviroc concentrations could be important to
    • Help explain lack of response.
    • Help assess compliance.
    • Help assess a need to dose adjust to increase virologic success.
    • For example, in patient population with Cmin <75 ng/mL, by doubling dose the probability of success is increased to 62% (vs 56% at the proposed dosing). In overall population this probability is 69% vs. 67%.