Table of Contents
Toward More Rational Risk Analysis: Improving the ranking process in #152
What is necessary for rational decision-making?
CVM’s proposed qualitative approach does not support rational decisions
Other key ambiguities
Performance problems
A key disconnect
CVM’s three factors do not predict risk
Example: Virginiamycin and Synercid
Qualitative vs. Quantitative
Quantitative vs. Qualitative: What factors determining risk are considered?
Quantitative vs. Qualitative
Key Steps in Health Risk Assessment
Conclusions
Recommendations
PPT Slide
Quantifying Risk
Proportion of total VRE isolates that are vanA VREF
Proportion of vanA VREFs Attributed to Chickens
QD-Resistance Levels in Humans
VM-Attributable Risk Calculation
Effects Model
Main Results for US
Timing of Impacts
What drives the numbers?
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