About FDA
Medical Device Technology Forecast: Appendix A
Survey Forms
Scoring Factors Definitions
(1) Future Generation Examples
Please list the most significant examples of devices you anticipate. If you do not have specific examples in a particular device technology area but still feel you have an informed opinion in that area, please answer the questions below for the overall technology area.
(2) Probability
What's the likelihood that your examples in each device-technology area will be successfully introduced into regular (i.e., noninvestigational) clinical use during the indicated time periods (i.e., < 5 years, 5-10 years, > 10 years)?
| highly unlikely to be successfully introduced into use | 1___2___ 3___4___5 moderately likely | almost certain to be successfully introduced into use |
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(3) Affected Patient Population
For each device-technology area, what's the ultimate size of the annual patient population likely to be affected by your examples during the next decade?
| very small fraction of total patient population | 1___2___ 3___4___5 | very large fraction of total patient population |
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(4) Benefit
For each device-technology area, if your examples do appear, what is the expected benefit in additional lives saved or serious disabilities avoided/alleviated?
| almost no reduction in present rates of death or serious disability | 1___2___ 3___4___5 moderately reduction | potentially large reduction in present rates of death or serious disability |
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(5) Risk
For each device-technology area, if your examples do appear, what is the magnitude of the potential risk associated with substantial new developments?
| almost no potential risk for patients | 1___2___ 3___4___5 moderately risk | potentially high risk for patients (possibly offset by other benefits) |
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(6) overall Importance
Considering all factors, what's the likely importance of each of your examples for future health care?
| highly unlikely to portend significant change from present health care practice | 1___2___ 3___4___5 moderately likely | almost certain to portend significant change from present health care practice |
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(7) Commetns
Please use this space to provide explanations, ideas, and comments regarding each device-technology area. If you need additional space, please use the back of the scoring sheet. Please feel free to express ideas that transcend individual device-technology categories.
